Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth Texas 1056 PM CDT Tuesday Jun 18 2013 Aviation... VFR conditions and light winds will be the rule for this taf cycle. Winds have already veered to the southeast and remain below 10 kts. There is an outside shot that stratus will develop around sunrise Wednesday...but with the lack of a low level jet the threat looks minimal. Will continue with gradual veering of the surface winds for tomorrow with speeds approaching 10 knots around noon. Otherwise a high pressure ridge will keep conditions quiet through the extended forecast period. 30 && Previous discussion... /issued 308 PM CDT Tuesday Jun 18 2013/ the remnants of this mornings mesoscale convective vortex is moving into the eastern counties and taking the precipitation with it. We will linger low chance probability of precipitation over the far eastern counties for the overnight hours. Clouds have also been thinning behind this system and expect much of the County Warning Area to be mostly clear this evening and overnight. As for more convection late tonight and Wednesday...there is less confidence in a repeat system tonight due to a lack of an upstream shortwave headed our way. The upper flow should take any upstream system across Oklahoma...if a system can form. For this reasoning have lowered probability of precipitation to slight chance for Wednesday afternoon. The upper ridge builds back over the region Thursday and remains dominate through Tuesday. Residual soil moisture will slow the warm up of maximum temperatures on Wednesday...but expect highs to be back in the middle to upper 90s from Thursday on. Overnight lows will near normal levels tonight and tomorrow night...but will inch upward a little for the weekend. However...the western counties could see lows remaining in the lower 70s Friday and over the weekend due to dewpoints in the lower to middle 60s. No precipitation is expected after Wednesday. 75 && Preliminary point temps/pops... Dallas-ft. Worth, Texas 73 93 74 95 75 / 10 20 10 0 0 Waco, Texas 72 94 74 95 73 / 10 20 10 0 0 Paris, Texas 69 91 70 92 72 / 20 20 10 5 0 Denton, Texas 70 91 71 93 73 / 10 20 10 0 0 McKinney, Texas 69 90 73 93 73 / 20 20 10 5 0 Dallas, Texas 75 94 76 95 77 / 20 20 10 0 0 Terrell, Texas 72 92 74 94 74 / 20 20 10 5 0 Corsicana, Texas 73 94 74 95 74 / 20 20 10 5 0 Temple, Texas 71 94 72 94 72 / 10 10 10 0 0 Mineral Wells, Texas 70 93 72 94 72 / 10 20 5 0 0 && Forward watches/warnings/advisories... none. && $$ 30/69